Unexpected Envoy Advancing Ukraine Ceasefire Plan Reveals Vance Influence on American Policy
America's Army Secretary, Dan Driscoll, emerged as an unlikely diplomat for the White House's newest proposal to end the conflict in Ukraine. His strong relationship with JD Vance has positioned a key ally of the Eurosceptic vice-president at the center of President Trump's recent effort to conclude the war.
Prior to his last week's visit to Kyiv, Driscoll was not known as a negotiator or diplomat, and his early efforts to sell the agreement to officials in Europe were described as turbulent.
His close ties with Vance, with whom he studied and shares a personal bond, signal the rising influence of the isolationist vice-president in negotiations to end the Ukraine crisis.
Vance's Involvement in Peace Negotiations
It was Vance who stepped in during Volodymyr Zelenskyy disastrous first trip to the Trump White House in March and demanded he show Trump more courtesy. Now, Ukraine is once again pushing back against pressure from the US to accept a swift deal that local officials have described as a surrender.
After a tumultuous initial year in office, foreign policy decisions in the White House are said to be shaped by a small group of Trump's key advisers, such as top aide Susie Wiles, conservative adviser Stephen Miller, envoy Steve Witkoff, State Department head Marco Rubio, and of course Vance.
Vance has been a outspoken supporter of the recent proposal, which was developed by Witkoff and Trump's relative Jared Kushner, together with the Russian diplomat Kirill Dmitriev.
“All objection of the peace framework the administration is developing either misunderstands the framework or misrepresents some critical situation on the ground,” the VP wrote.
Initial Attempts and EU Reactions
Vance's early efforts at hammering out a ceasefire agreement with Russia, while simultaneously attempting to restore relations with Moscow, were unsuccessful and left his camp feeling frustrated with their Russian counterparts. European officials, meanwhile, were angered by his initial remarks, in which he charged them of running from their voters, who Vance said held anti-immigration and conservative views close to those of Trump's own constituency.
But, the recently published peace deal closely resembled his stances, and he has been one of the most assertive spokespeople for the deal in the administration, even as the US has been under fire for accepting a peace framework that mostly resembles Vladimir Putin's maximalist terms.
In posts this weekend, Vance argued that a peace deal would have to establish a ceasefire that honored Ukrainian sovereignty, be agreeable to each party, and prevent the war from restarting.
“A ceasefire will not be made by unsuccessful diplomats or politicians living in a dream world,” he added. “An agreement could be made by smart people living in the real world.”
Additionally, it was Vance who followed up on the presentation of the ceasefire proposal in a conversation with Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Trump had primarily tasked his staff with securing a agreement on the ceasefire accord prior to Thanksgiving this week in the United States.
Rubio's Reaction and Private Doubts
Vance's stance was a notably more enthusiastic endorsement of the proposal than that expressed by the secretary of state and security advisor, Marco Rubio, a more traditional hardliner in the government who has transitioned from a uncertain position inside the White House to more firm footing.
Rubio was a member of a US delegation that traveled to Geneva this past weekend to confer with Ukrainian leaders to help refine the original 28-point peace plan in order to make it more acceptable to authorities in Kyiv.
But, his first response to the deal was lukewarm:
“Stopping a complicated and deadly war such as the one in Ukraine demands an thorough exchange of serious and pragmatic proposals,” Rubio wrote over the weekend. “And, achieving a durable peace will necessitate both sides to agree to challenging but necessary concessions. This is the reason we are and will continue to develop a list of possible ideas for ending this conflict drawing from input from both sides of this war.”
In private, he was said to be much more skeptical of the plan. The Republican senator Mike Rounds stated recently at the Halifax International Security Forum in Nova Scotia that Rubio had contacted lawmakers to explain that the agreement was merely a initial proposal from the Russians and not an plan pushed by the administration.
“Rubio did make a phone call to us this afternoon and I think he made it very clear to us that we are the recipients of a offer that was presented to one of our officials,” stated Rounds. “It is not our recommendation, it is not our ceasefire proposal.”
Rubio moved quickly to align himself. “The peace proposal was authored by the US,” he subsequently stated. “It is presented as a solid structure for continuing discussions. It is derived from input from the Russian side. However, it is additionally informed by previous and current contributions from Ukraine.”